Sunday, January 16, 2011

Global Sovereign Risk: The Top 10 Most Risky Nations (Lists) *Q4 2010 Credit Risk Report*

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Sovereign Risk


Global Sovereign Risk: Top 10 Most Risky Nations

The 4th Quarter 2010 CMA Global Sovereign Debt Credit Risk Report has been issued with the Top 10 Most Risky and Top 10 Least Risky nations.


Top 10 Most Risky Nations

The Top Ten Most Risky Sovereign Debt (December 31, 2010) At December 31, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 4th Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having the highest risk of default:
1    Greece
2    Venezuela
3    Ireland
4    Portugal
5    Argentina
6    Ukraine
7    Spain
8    Dubai/Emirate of
9    Hungary
10  Iraq

The Top Ten Most Risky Sovereign Debt (September 30, 2010) At September 30, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 3rd Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having the highest risk of default:
1    Venezuela
2    Greece
3    Argentina
4    Pakistan
5    Ukraine
6    Ireland
7    Dubai/Emirate of
8    Iraq
9    Portugal
10  Romania

Changes in the Top 10 from the September 30, 2010 Report to the December 31, 2010 Report
Pakistan has dropped out of Top 10
Romania has dropped out of Top 10
Spain has entered Top 10 as #7
Hungary has entered Top 10 as #9


Top 10 Least Risky Nations

World's Least Risky Sovereign Debt (December 31, 2010) At December 31, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 4th Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having the least risk of default:
1    Norway
2    Finland
3    Sweden
4    Switzerland
5    USA
6    Hong Kong
7    Denmark
8    Australia
9    Germany
10  Saudi Arabia

World's Least Risky Sovereign Debt (September 30, 2010) At December 31, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 3rd Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having the least risk of default:
1    Norway
2    Finland
3    Sweden
4    Denmark
5    Germany
6    Switzerland
7    Netherlands
8    Australia
9    USA
10  Hong Kong

Changes in the Top 10 from the September 30, 2010 Report to the December 31, 2010 Report
Netherlands has dropped out of Top 10
Saudi Arabia has entered Top 10 as #10


About CMA and the CMA Global Sovereign Debt Credit Risk Report 

CMA, the world’s leading source of independent, accurate OTC credit market data, has unrivalled access to information about what is actually happening in the CDS markets. It combines this unmatched breadth and depth of pricing data with market-leading technology to deliver clear and valuable information to financial institutions around the world. The CMA ranks sovereign default risk by CPD (Cumulative Probability of Default). "CPD quantifies the probability of a country being unable to honour its debt obligations over a given period of time period. For Sovereign CDS, this typically includes the probability of a restructuring of debt."


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