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Sunday, January 2, 2011

Global Sovereign Risk: World's Most Risky Debtor Nations & USA States (Lists) *YE 2010 Review*

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Sovereign Risk


Global Sovereign Risk: World's Riskiest Debt
Nations & USA States + New York City

World's Most Risky Sovereign Debt (December 31, 2010) The latest CMA Sovereign Risk Monitor update, as of Friday, December 31, 2010, has the following 10 nations as the highest risk of default:
1    Greece
2    Venezuela
3    Ireland
4    Portugal
5    Argentina
6    Pakistan
7    Ukraine
8    Illinois/State of
9    Spain
10  Dubai/Emirate of

World's Most Risky Sovereign Debt (September 30, 2010) At September 30, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 3rd Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having highest risk of default:
1    Venezuela
2    Greece
3    Argentina
4    Pakistan
5    Ukraine
6    Ireland
7    Dubai/Emirate of
8    Iraq
9    Portugal
10  Romania

Changes in the Top 10 from the September 30, 2010 Report to the December 31, 2010 Monitor
Pakistan has dropped out of Top10
Spain has entered Top 10 as #9

World's Least Risky Sovereign Debt (September 30, 2010) At September 30, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 3rd Quarter 2010" listed the following ten nations as having the least risk of default:
1    Norway
2    Finland
3    Sweden
4    Denmark
5    Germany
6    Switzerland
7    Netherlands
8    Australia
9    USA
10  Hong Kong

USA States: Most Risky Sovereign Debt (September 30, 2010) At September 30, 2010, the CMA "Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report: 3rd Quarter 2010" listed the following USA states and one city (New York City) as having the highest risk of default:
1    Illinois
2    California
3    Michigan
4    New Jersey
5    Nevada
6    New York
7    New York City
8    Rhode Island
9    Massachusetts
10  Ohio
11  Florida
12  Pennsylvania
13  Wisconsin
14  Connecticut
15  Texas
16  Maryland
17  Virginia

CMA Sovereign Risk Monitor "The CMA Sovereign Risk Monitor identifies and ranks the world’s most volatile sovereign debt issuers according to percentage changes in their 5 year CDS. CDS values are calculated by CMA’s market leading CDS price verification service, DataVision."

CMA Credit Risk Report The CMA ranks sovereign default risk by CPD (Cumulative Probability of Default). "CPD quantifies the probability of a country being unable to honour its debt obligations over a given period of time period. For Sovereign CDS, this typically includes the probability of a restructuring of debt."




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Links
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* Data Courtesy of CMA *


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